Probable behavior of the martality by nom-communicable event ta health.
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PROGNOSIS/trends, MORTALITYAbstract
An analysis was done on the behavior of the chronological series of the mortality of some selected non-communicable diseases. The predictor models were obtained by the technique of the fractional exponent as well as the linear tendency up to the year 2003.The mortality due to heart deseases, myocardial infarction and cerebrovascular diseases showed the prognosis up to the year 2003 higher than that of the year 2000.
Such events showed a decreasing tendency of mortality as follows: Mortality due to malignant tumors showed a fixed trend, whereas the tendency due to cerebrovascular diseases increased . The prognosis of mortality were useful to evaluate the impact of the actions to be taken and the priority for the allocation of resourses in health.
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